If Statkraft’s Low Emissions Scenario were a puzzle, these are the pieces we need

就像任何好的谜题一样，这是一个复杂的谜题. 让它有意义, 十大靠谱网赌询问了高级分析师, Espen Bakken Waagø-Wiborg, 帮十大靠谱网赌把它拼凑起来, analysing all eleven pieces required to achieve a successful green energy transition.  

技术部分

A successful and cost-efficient energy transition requires technological development. 更大的风力涡轮机, 更高效的太阳能电池板, 发展不太成熟的技术, 比如氢基和CCUS, will lead to falling prices for renewable technologies.

市场部分

说到市场动态, 你需要健康的清洁能源解决方案供应, 以及充足的需求. This is about making green technology more affordable and available enough to ensure supply and demand are well-balanced in the market.

政策部分

Some clean energy technologies are still more expensive than their fossil competitors. But if we wait for the market to adjust itself, we’ll be out of time. A policy push that encourages green alternatives is necessary, 无论是通过监管还是其他激励措施, 这样清洁能源的选择就会变得更便宜, 更容易选择.  

协作部分

气候变化是一个全球性问题. 今天，这种转变是不平衡的. It’s happening to a greater degree in developed countries, while developing countries lag. 全球 success requires broad collaboration on policies, 监管, and even financing – and greater access to investment to help all parts of the world progress. 

碳定价部分

Carbon markets is an efficient policy tool that puts a price on CO2 emissions. This creates an incentive to cut emissions and internalises the price of emissions into the decision-making of an organisation. Carbon markets don’t prioritise one green technology over the other, but rather prioritise the end goal of lower emissions. 

金融部分

The energy gap persists to this day, and poverty remains pervasive in parts of the world. Investments in clean energy often have high upfront costs, 加强低成本融资至关重要. The energy transition needs to contribute to lift people and communities out of poverty and give them access to clean and affordable energy – thus spurring not only the energy transition, but also sustainable wealth growth where it’s sorely needed.

供应链部分

You can have high ambitions for the energy transition, 但是没有材料支持, 这将很难扩大规模. Today, parts of the renewable energy supply chain are concentrated in few countries. This creates a risk when it comes to the stability and security of supply. 多样化是关键. 

公众支持部分

To facilitate rapid deployment of renewable technologies, public support is needed. There need to be acceptance and support for building onshore wind, for installing heat pump in homes and replacing fossil vehicles with battery electric ones. Eventual resistance needs to be managed and solutions found such that support for the energy transition is upheld.  

“只是过渡”部分

The energy transition will have ripple effects across economies and households: high upfront costs for green energy solutions, higher carbon prices may hit vulnerable households disproportionately, and many communities remain dependent on fossil industries for employment. The transition can’t come at the expense of vulnerable households. Managing this requires political support to help subsidise, 激励, and keep people employed as we work towards the low emissions target.  

可持续的部分

自然危机, characterised by biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradation, is a key aspect of sustainability in the energy transition. Transitioning to renewable energy sources can mitigate these impacts. However, this transition must be done responsibly to protect local ecosystems and biodiversity. 可持续性 in the energy transition involves a holistic approach that includes not just reducing carbon emissions but also conserving biodiversity and maintaining ecosystem health. 

缺失的部分

The Low Emissions Scenario doesn’t limit global warming to 1.根据《十大靠谱网赌》，将全球气温控制在5°C. 每个二氧化碳分子都很重要, so to achieve this we need to cut emissions faster and we need to go deeper. Mature technologies need to be deployed at a faster rate, non-mature technologies need to be available at scale sooner, 十大靠谱网赌需要更有效地利用能源.